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Are emergent abilities real?

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Disputed. Sudden capability jumps are widely reported, and a serious counter-argument holds that they are partly an artefact of discontinuous metrics, where smooth improvement looks like a jump under an all-or-nothing measure. The honest answer names both.

Reading an answer is not being able to give one. The section that teaches this is Predicting capability from compute, 7 hours of Scaling laws.

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